NEWMARKET 15:15
Betfred 'The Bonus King' Stakes (Heritage Handicap)6f
- (3yo, 6f, Class 2, 19 runners)
- Winner £62,250 2nd £18,640 3rd £9,320 4th £4,660 5th £2,330 6th£1,170
- Going: Good to Firm (Watered)
- Surface: Turf
..
A big field Hcap that is usually a punters nightmare and tbh this does look very open with plenty in with chances but i will try and break this down using available stats and data and the first thin i will do is immediately remove any that havent won over the Distance and that removes 6 taking us down to just 13 runners.
1 : NINJAGO -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.1m12.01 ( beaten 6L )
2.1m12.0 ( 1st )
3.1m15.43 ( 1st )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD : N
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM : 3
" WELL IN " : 0
STABLE FORM : 2
GROUND FORM : 1
CLASS DROPPER : 2
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE : 8
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2 : CHILWORTH ICON -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.N/A
2.1m10.02 ( 3rd beaten 1L )
3.1m14.0 ( over CD 1 year ago in the July Stakes behind Gale Force Ten , 5th beaten just 2 +1/2L )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :2
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :0
" WELL IN " :1
STABLE FORM :1
GROUND FORM :2
CLASS DROPPER :1
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :7
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3 : MOVIESTA -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.1m09.2 ( 2nd beaten a HD on g/f )
2.1m13.36 ( 1st )
3.1m.12.43 ( 12 months ago )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :4
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :2
GROUND FORM :3
CLASS DROPPER :1
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :10
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4 : HEAVENS GUEST -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1 (.Behind Moviesta )
2.1m14.01 ( 1st )
3.1m12.43 ( Beaten 5L )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :1
" WELL IN " : -2
STABLE FORM : 2
GROUND FORM : 0
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? : -1
STAT SCORE :0
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
5 : SECRETINTHEPARK -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.Behind Chilworth Icon
2.1m11.0s ( 1st )
3.N/A
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :2
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :2
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :1
GROUND FORM :2
CLASS DROPPER :2
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :9
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
6 : RIVELLINO -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1 Behind Moviesta
2. Behind +2 other Runners.
3.1m014 ( AW )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :0
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :1
GROUND FORM :0
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :1
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
7 : ROBOT BOY -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1. 1m12.09 ( 1st )
2. 1m11.09 ( 2nd beaten 2L )
3. Behind Secretinthepark
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :2
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :0
GROUND FORM :1
CLASS DROPPER :1
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :4
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
8 : BURNING BLAZE -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1. Behind Chilworth Icon
2. 1m15.00 ( Heavy Ground > 3rd to Polski Max )
3. 1m11.13 ( 1st )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :2
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :2
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :2
GROUND FORM :2
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :8
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
9 : MARYS DAUGHTER -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.Behind Moviesta
2.N/A
3.N/A
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :0
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :2
GROUND FORM :0
CLASS DROPPER :1
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :3
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
10 : EQUITY RISK -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.N/A ( Both 6f runs were at Wolverhampton's AW 5f216yrd course , in 1m12 & 1m13.0 )
2. N/A
3. N/A
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :2
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :2
GROUND FORM :2
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :6
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
11 :RENE MATHIS -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1.N/A ( Didnt achieve a speed rating in 3 runs over 6f )
2.N/A
3.N/A
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :1
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :2
GROUND FORM :2
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :5
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
12 : PURCELL -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1. 1m12.46 ( AW )
2. Behind Chilworth Icon
3. Behind Secretinthepark ( and Brazen again )
BONUS POINTS FOR CD :0
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :1
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :3
GROUND FORM :2
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :6
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
13 : MTUAZAMEN -
LAST THREE RUNS OVER DISTANCE :
1. N/A
2. NA/
3. 1m14.0 CD Win
BONUS POINTS FOR CD : 2
BONUS POINTS FOR RECENT RELEVANT FORM :0
" WELL IN " :0
STABLE FORM :3
GROUND FORM :3
CLASS DROPPER :0
CLASS RISER? :0
STAT SCORE :8
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Final Summary : SECRETINTHEPARK and CHILWORTH ICON both look to be the main players here along with MOVIESTA these three hold 8 of the remaining 13 runners on recent Literal form and with 4 having not run well enough to attain a figure i find it very hard to look beyond these.
Ninjago and Robot Boy have both ran to respectable figures previously and both warrant respect and a solid case can be made for Dutching all 5 with the lowest priced runner @ 8.0 , the " Value " in the race simply has to be Chilworth Icon @ 36>> , fast times, good fractions, solid form and holds a few here and could easily sneak a place or better , My Personal Selection would probably be Moviesta ( if i was backing a single selection ) , the current 2nd and 3rd Favs Heavens Guest and Equity Risk would both be win and Place Lays as i see no way these are winning and will struggle to get involved , good luck ..ttfn x
